Tuesday, May 26, 2015

How to Use Options to Cash In on Facebook's Coming Rally


NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Facebook (FB - Get Report) has become a major force in our world.
Much like Google (GOOGL) before it, Facebook matured rather quickly into both a cultural phenomenon and a quality corporation.
Image result for facebookTo ignore this is to ignore reality, something no wise trader or investor would do. It's better to embrace things as they are than to fight reality.
On a fundamental basis, Facebook now has a staggering market cap of more than $226 billion. The company has no debt and more than $12 billion in net cash (nearing $4.50 a share). It trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30, based on estimates of 2016 earnings. That is justified by the company's sales growth rate of 35%.
Jim Cramer's charitable trust Action Alerts PLUS owns Facebook and says the stock can go higher. Read his analysis here.
Facebook is a young company and has a very good future ahead of it for both users and its shareholders. Please note that 70% of Facebook's outstanding shares are held by institutional investors.
Technically FB has one-year stochastics and RSI that for the most part mirror the major stock market averages' chart patterns.
Thus, FB, as I read its chart, is noncommittal relative to an up or down in price bias. Yet, as I read things, when push comes to shove, the pattern remains bullish.
And like many stocks now, FB is becoming coiled.
Source: Yahoo Finance
The last and only time that FB coiled was early July 2013. Facebook's price was in the mid-$20s at that time. By October 2013, the stock had rocketed into the $50s!
This coil that is now forming has caught my eye, and today's trade is based on the 2013 price move.
Trades: Buy to open FB Sep 85 calls for $2.80 and sell to open FB Sep 90 calls at $1.45.
The total risk for the trade is $1.35 per spread. The suggested target to close for a gain is a bid of $1.75, and the suggested target to stop out is a bid of $0.95.
As always, this is a guideline, and you should always stick to your trading plan and what's best for your risk/reward tolerance

By Skip Raschke

No comments:

Post a Comment