Showing posts with label Trading Stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trading Stocks. Show all posts

Thursday, April 13, 2017

How to Buy Penny Stocks (for Beginners)

Image result for penny stocks

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- It's hard to check your email without hearing about the next "hot" penny stock that's going to make you rich. But what are penny stocks, and can they really deliver on those promises? Here's my 2 cents worth on penny stocks.

What Are Penny Stocks?

Low-priced, small-cap stocks are known as penny stocks. Contrary to their name, penny stocks rarely cost a penny. The SEC considers a penny stock to be pretty much anything under $5. And while there are sub $5 stocks trading on big exchanges like NYSE and NASDAQ, most investors don't think of these when asked to describe a penny stock.
Most individual investors look at penny stocks like Wall Street's Wild West, an untamed world of investing detached from all the glitz and media coverage that comes with stocks that are traded on major exchanges. While the gains and losses can be pretty impressive in the penny stock world, they're not often heard about elsewhere.
Just because you don't hear about penny stocks every day on CNBC doesn't mean that penny stocks are without drama. Unfortunately, penny stocks have also garnered a reputation as a game filled with scams and corruption. Indeed, penny stocks could be your wildest ride yet as an investor.
So then, if penny stocks usually aren't traded on normal exchanges, where can you buy them?


How to Buy Penny Stocks

Like any other stock you would buy, you can purchase shares of a penny stock through your normal stockbroker -- regardless of whether or not it's listed on a major exchange.
While cheap stocks listed on exchanges like NYSE and NASDAQ aren't typically considered "penny stocks" per se, they can afford a lot of the benefits of penny stocks without quite so much risk. These exchanges have strict listing requirements, and while they might not allow for as much of an upside as "true" penny stocks can, they tend to be more reliable. More often, though, penny stocks trade on listing services like OTCBB and Pink Sheets.
Over-the-Counter Bulletin Board, or OTCBB, is a quotation. Unlike Pink Sheets, which is just a quotation publisher, OTCBB maintains listing requirements (though they're less stringent than those of an exchange). For this reason, OTCBB has a little bit of added legitimacy.
Pink Sheets is a system that provides investors with quotation information on stocks that are registered with it. Unlike OTCBB, however, Pink Sheets isn't registered with the SEC and doesn't enforce any listing requirements. Bottom Line: Pink Sheets stocks are risky.

The Potential Payoff of Penny Stocks

Image result for penny stocksWith all the risk involved, why would anyone want to put his or her money in a penny stock anyway? The answer is volatility.
Because penny stocks are prone to violent fluctuation (volatility), many people believe that they'll luck out with a stock that will jump from $0.08 to $8 in two weeks. And it's happened. Scour enough investing message boards and you're sure to find success stories from investors who made a mint while "playing the pennies."
Companies that can successfully make the jump from penny stock to power stock are rare, but when you find them they pay out in spades. Numbers vary quite a bit in the penny stock world, but investors have raked in gains over 1,000% in a couple weeks' time. The real trick is finding the right stock.

The Risks of Investing in Penny Stocks

Image result for stock investor who lost his moneyEven legitimate penny stocks are plagued by very high risk. Two principal reasons that risk is so inherent in penny stock investing are low liquidity and poor reporting standards.
As investors saw most recently with the sub-prime lending market, liquidity problems can be a huge deal for investors. And unlike lending, low liquidity plagues the penny stocks on a daily basis. Because penny stock investing is such a niche area, even relatively low trade volumes can have an impressive effect on a stock's share price. According to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), "Penny stocks may trade infrequently, which means that it may be difficult to sell penny stock shares once you own them. Because it may be difficult to find quotations for certain penny stocks, they may be impossible to accurately price."
What this means is that if you play with penny stocks you may end up with a whole lot of worthless stock that you can't get rid of.
Another concern for investors is the lack of stringent reporting standards for companies whose stocks trade on OTCBB or in the Pink Sheets. OTCBB does require that registered companies stay current with SEC filings, but those filings are the bare minimum -- well below what an exchange-traded company would have to file.
Since companies that are delinquent in submitting their filings to the SEC are still so accessible to individual investors, penny stocks have proven to be a treasure trove for dishonest people.
That's one of the reasons that the SEC has taken such an active role in making sure that the American public is protected from unscrupulous companies and individuals in the penny stock arena. For your broker to even sell you a penny stock, they're legally required to send you a document outlining the risks of penny stock ownership. There's a reason brokers and regulatory bodies go to such lengths to make sure that you're not blindly investing in penny stocks; scammers are out there.

What's With the Penny Stock Spam?

Spam is the scourge of the earth. It fills our e-mail inboxes with garbage and junk, and chances are if you get a decent amount of spam, you've seen messages designed to promote penny stocks.
But the spam isn't relegated to e-mail. Message boards, chat rooms, discussion groups -- even advertisers on legitimate websites -- are all home to their fair share of the stuff. It goes without saying that you shouldn't go out and buy a stock that's praised in a sketchy e-mail, but some people do, and scammers make millions of dollars off of unsuspecting investors.
One of the most prevalent types of penny stock scams out there is the "pump and dump." In a pump and dump scam, the bad guys load up on a cheap and worthless stock, convince inexperienced investors to buy it at inflated prices (pump), and sell their shares off when the investors push the price up enough (dump). For help on avoiding pump and dump scams, check out the SEC's article on the matter.

How to Pinch Those Pennies

So now that you know the scary side of penny stocks, how can you cash in on the potential growth that they have to offer? There are three things you'll want to look for when picking a penny stock to make sure that you don't get penny stuck: Underlying business, financials, and footnotes.
When it comes to penny stocks, a company's underlying business is even more important than it is in exchange-traded stocks. That's because the penny stock world is home to "shell" companies that are legally incorporated, but don't have any business operations. Shell companies are a great opportunity for scammers, because they can be easily set up as a "pump and dump" stock. Look for companies with real, sustainable business operations and you'll be one step closer to finding a good penny stock.
Like with any stock, a penny stock's financials are an essential tool for investors. But with penny stocks, the question is more about the quality of the financial statements. Does the company file on time? Who was the auditing firm? Do the company's financials look healthy? If you can answer yes to those three questions, it's time to stroll through the footnotes.
In most companies, footnotes are an oft-overlooked, yet very important part of its filings. And while you might be able to get by without reading GE's footnotes, miss the footnotes for a penny stock, and your portfolio might miss its mark. Since penny stocks are smaller companies that are more prone to things like related-party transactions and non-GAAP accounting oddities, don't walk around the footnotes for a penny stock.

Conclusion

Fact: Penny stocks are inherently risky. Fact: Penny stocks can be fodder for scammers. Fact: Penny stocks can make you a lot of money.
Even with all the risks and drawbacks involved in penny stocks, many investors simply find that the potential windfalls are well worth it. There's a reason that penny stocks remain popular among a brave clique of investors: Penny stocks can deliver a very impressive return. Hopefully, you'll find that your new penny stock know-how makes the Wild West of investing a little more tamable.

By Jonas Elmerraji
Source:https://goo.gl/UnRmlF

Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis Combined

Fundamental analysis (FA) looks at the value and growth outlook for a stock.
Image result for fundamental analysis
Some die-hard fundamentalists disregard TA, while some technical guys do the same for FA. But nowadays, most people give both techniques the respect they deserve.Technical analysis (TA) essentially shows the demand for a stock and how the market perceives those fundamentals.
I have a long history of using fundamental analysis to pick winning stocks. But my experience using TA goes back just as far.
Some prefer to look at TA more as a confirming indicator if TA is used first. In other words, once their fundamental criterion is met, they then look at the charts.
But if TA is used first, it can act as a spotting indicator, helping to put stocks with certain technical analysis characteristics on their radar so they can then layer their fundamental analysis on top.
You can also do both at the same time. And that's the screen we're going to look at today.
Parameters and Methodology
The screen below is called TA and FA Winners, and it comes loaded with the Research Wizard.
• Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2
Only Strong Buys and Buys from Zacks.
 Estimate One Year EPS Growth > Median for its X (Expanded) Industry • Price to Sales less than Median for its X (Expanded) Industry
The P/S ratio is my favorite valuation metric. And the way we're using it here is by demanding that the stocks coming thru are trading at valuations better than the median for their respective industries.
We want growth rates that are greater than the median for their respective industries as well. Without growth, there's little reason to move.
• Price x Volume >= $500,000
This item, also known as 'dollar volume', calculates the average total dollar amount trading in this stock on a daily basis. The threshold above represents the bare minimum of dollar volume traded to qualify this screen.
• Recent Week's Volume > Volume from 1 Week Ago
Rising prices and increasing volume can be a sign that new buyers are coming in and short sellers may be giving up.
• Volume from 1 Week Ago > Volume from 2 Weeks Ago
The second week of increasing volume eliminates the instances where there's a only a one-week volume spike, which can often times be meaningless. The addition of the second week helps to see true increasing demand.
• Volume from 2 Weeks Ago > Volume from 3 Weeks Ago
The third week, I have found, helps to spot institutional buying. Big institutions don't get in all at once given their size. So they plan their trades accordingly over periods of weeks and even months. The appearance of a third week of increasing volume could be spotting institutional buying, which is a bullish sign.
• % Change in Price over the last 24 Weeks = Top # 30
This item, after meeting all of the aforementioned criteria, selects the top 30 stocks with the best percentage price change over the last 24 weeks.
• % Change in Price over the last 12 Weeks = Top # 20
From those 30 stocks, it then narrows it down to 20 stocks with the best percentage price change over the last 12 weeks.
• % Change in Price over the last 4 Weeks = Top # 7
And lastly, from those 20 stocks, it picks the 7 stocks with the best percentage price change over the last 4 weeks. These last 3 price change items establish the stock's long-term, medium-term, and short-term momentum.

Results
Over the last 16 years (2000 thru 2015), using a one-week rebalancing period, this strategy produced a compounded annual growth rate of 51.8% vs. the S&P's 3.8%.
And so far this year (thru 10/25/16), it's up 49.5% vs. the market's 6.1%. That's an impressive outperformance, especially given one of the most trying markets in years!



Stocks
Here are 3 of 7 recent picks:
(ORN - Snapshot Report) Orion Group Holdings
(BAK - Snapshot Report) Braskem S.A.
(UCTT - Snapshot Report) Ultra Clean Holdings
Get the rest of the stocks on this list and start trading 'TA and FA Winners' (or any of our other strategies) in your own account. Remember, the key to successful screening is in discovering those screens that have produced profitable results in the past. That's exactly what you get with the Research Wizard stock picking and backtesting program.